Graded Results

Every price we have flagged, graded after the game. Losing leagues and losing months are here too.

Games from Nov 21, 2025 to Nov 14, 2026 · computed Nov 14, 2026 14:21 UTC

310,045
Bets graded
152,685-156,348-1,012
Record (W-L-P)
49.4%
Win Rate
-379.60u
Units
-0.1%
ROI on risk
1.0%
Avg edge at alert

How we count

  • One bet, counted once. The scanner logs a new row every time a flagged price changes. We count the first alert for each bet (game, market, side, sportsbook) and ignore the repeats.
  • Everything we would alert on is included. This is not a "best of" list. Alerts are only sent for prices up to ±400 on moneylines and ±200 on spreads and totals, so longer prices are not counted here either. Bets that could not be graded are also left out.
  • Units. A favorite is staked to win 1 unit, so more than 1 unit is at risk. An underdog risks 1 unit.
  • ROI is profit divided by the amount risked, not profit per bet.
  • Win rate is wins divided by wins plus losses. Pushes are shown in the record but not in the rate.
  • Graded at the alert price. If the price had moved by the time you bet, your result was different.
  • Dates are game start times in UTC. The most recent days are recomputed on every refresh, so late score corrections show up here.
League and sportsbook apply to the totals and the list below. Showing recent picks on this page (deduplicated)

By league

League Bets Record (W-L-P) Win Rate Units ROI on risk
NBA 180,429 89,291-90,974-164 49.5% -690.55u -0.3%
NCAAB 52,972 25,981-26,577-414 49.4% +297.88u +0.5%
NHL 32,084 15,580-16,311-193 48.9% -405.78u -1.1%
NCAAF 24,006 11,707-12,187-112 49.0% +338.99u +1.3%
NFL 19,559 9,630-9,809-120 49.5% +65.53u +0.3%
MLB 995 496-490-9 50.3% +14.33u +1.2%

By month

Month (game start) Bets Record (W-L-P) Win Rate Units ROI on risk
Nov 2026 25,864 12,871-12,941-52 49.9% +84.06u +0.3%
Oct 2026 33,376 16,399-16,899-78 49.2% +73.04u +0.2%
Sep 2026 13,356 6,550-6,783-23 49.1% -23.99u -0.2%
Aug 2026 2,157 1,086-1,042-29 51.0% +93.75u +4.0%
Jun 2026 2,378 1,211-1,164-3 51.0% +68.32u +2.6%
May 2026 14,563 7,284-7,263-16 50.1% +41.19u +0.3%
Apr 2026 29,084 14,418-14,628-38 49.6% -110.14u -0.3%
Mar 2026 40,400 19,819-20,495-86 49.2% -217.03u -0.5%
Feb 2026 36,638 18,046-18,427-165 49.5% +7.74u 0.0%
Jan 2026 51,111 25,169-25,771-171 49.4% -59.72u -0.1%
Dec 2025 45,422 22,395-22,790-237 49.6% -236.73u -0.5%
Nov 2025 15,696 7,437-8,145-114 47.7% -100.09u -0.6%

By market type

Market Bets Record (W-L-P) Win Rate Units ROI on risk
Player Prop 189,270 93,731-95,539-0 49.5% -1,105.50u -0.5%
Game Total 31,825 15,950-15,664-211 50.5% +162.06u +0.5%
Game Spread 28,373 14,092-14,131-150 49.9% +9.03u 0.0%
Team Total 18,885 9,473-9,412-0 50.2% +80.78u +0.4%
Game Moneyline 14,818 6,626-8,167-25 44.8% +380.93u +2.1%
1H Total 11,977 6,000-5,879-98 50.5% +15.42u +0.1%
1H Spread 6,574 3,267-3,255-52 50.1% -2.33u 0.0%
1H Moneyline 5,179 2,104-2,777-298 43.1% +99.75u +1.7%
1P Total 1,184 567-617-0 47.9% -49.91u -3.7%
1P Moneyline 278 98-98-82 50.0% -2.92u -1.2%
4Q Moneyline 215 100-108-7 48.1% -3.79u -1.5%
3Q Moneyline 205 77-94-34 45.0% -9.69u -4.6%
2Q Moneyline 191 73-94-24 43.7% -1.89u -0.9%
1i Total 163 82-81-0 50.3% -1.76u -0.9%
2Q Total 137 69-68-0 50.4% +0.43u +0.3%
2H Moneyline 126 57-60-9 48.7% +14.37u +9.3%
3P Total 103 55-48-0 53.4% +11.52u +8.9%
1P Spread 100 56-44-0 56.0% +15.93u +12.3%
4Q Total 92 47-45-0 51.1% +1.57u +1.6%
2P Total 67 34-33-0 50.7% +5.29u +6.2%
3Q Total 62 28-34-0 45.2% -5.58u -8.5%
3P Moneyline 51 15-19-17 44.1% -3.32u -8.0%
3P Spread 50 29-21-0 58.0% +10.67u +18.7%
2P Spread 25 10-15-0 40.0% -3.99u -13.9%
2P Moneyline 22 8-9-5 47.1% +0.21u +1.2%
2H Total 16 8-8-0 50.0% -0.09u -0.5%
4Q Spread 11 5-6-0 45.5% -1.05u -9.2%
2Q Spread 8 4-4-0 50.0% -0.04u -0.5%
3Q Spread 8 4-4-0 50.0% 0.00u 0.0%
8i Total 7 3-4-0 42.9% -1.01u -11.8%
2H Spread 6 3-3-0 50.0% 0.00u 0.0%
2i Total 4 3-1-0 75.0% +2.49u +57.2%
6i Total 4 2-2-0 50.0% +0.44u +9.3%
9i Total 4 2-2-0 50.0% +0.98u +19.6%
7i Total 3 2-1-0 66.7% +1.39u +39.2%
5i Total 2 1-1-0 50.0% 0.00u 0.0%

Most recent graded picks

Individual picks are listed here for a few days after grading. Older picks are archived; they stay in the totals above.

Date Game Market Pick with Odds Book Edge Result P/L
Nov 12, 2026 Buffalo Bulls @ Ball State Isaiah Thacker Receptions Over/Under over (2.50) +194 fanduel 1.2% Loss -1.00u
Nov 12, 2026 Buffalo Bulls @ Ball State TJ Horton Rushing Yards Over/Under over (39.50) +108 fanduel 0.0% Win +1.08u
Nov 12, 2026 Buffalo Bulls @ Ball State Clint Walker Receiving Yards Over/Under over (29.50) +138 fanduel 5.2% Win +1.38u
Nov 12, 2026 Buffalo Bulls @ Ball State Clint Walker Receiving Yards Over/Under under (29.50) -116 betonline 0.4% Loss -1.16u
Nov 12, 2026 Buffalo Bulls @ Ball State Moneyline away -108 novig 0.7% Win +1.00u
Nov 12, 2026 Buffalo Bulls @ Ball State Over/Under over (35.50) -552 polymarket 0.1% Loss -5.52u
Nov 12, 2026 Buffalo Bulls @ Ball State Jason Wright Passing Touchdowns Over/Under over (1.50) +118 draftkings 0.6% Loss -1.00u
Nov 12, 2026 Buffalo Bulls @ Ball State Spread home (+2.50) +100 fanduel 0.9% Loss -1.00u
Nov 12, 2026 Buffalo Bulls @ Ball State Spread away (-14.50) +374 draftkings 0.5% Win +3.74u
Nov 12, 2026 Buffalo Bulls @ Ball State Over/Under under (41.50) +257 draftkings 0.4% Win +2.57u
Nov 12, 2026 Sacramento State @ Central Michigan Central Michigan Points Over/Under under (30.50) -106 novig 1.3% Win +1.00u
Nov 12, 2026 Sacramento State @ Central Michigan Onterrio Smith Receptions Over/Under over (2.50) +114 draftkings 0.5% Win +1.14u
Nov 12, 2026 Sacramento State @ Central Michigan Central Michigan Points Over/Under over (30.50) +109 pinnacle 0.8% Loss -1.00u
Nov 12, 2026 Sacramento State @ Central Michigan Sacramento State 1st Half Points Over/Under over (6.50) -103 pinnacle 0.2% Win +1.00u
Nov 12, 2026 Sacramento State @ Central Michigan Sacramento State 1st Half Points Over/Under under (6.50) +100 draftkings 0.3% Loss -1.00u
Nov 12, 2026 Sacramento State @ Central Michigan Braylen Naves Receptions Over/Under over (2.50) +240 draftkings 3.4% Loss -1.00u
Nov 12, 2026 Sacramento State @ Central Michigan Braylen Naves Receiving Yards Over/Under over (29.50) +127 draftkings 3.7% Loss -1.00u
Nov 12, 2026 Sacramento State @ Central Michigan Sacramento State Points Over/Under over (7.50) -215 draftkings 0.9% Loss -2.15u
Nov 12, 2026 Sacramento State @ Central Michigan Sacramento State Points Over/Under under (7.50) +215 fanduel 0.9% Win +2.15u
Nov 12, 2026 Sacramento State @ Central Michigan 1st Half Spread home (-9.50) -113 novig 0.9% Loss -1.13u
Nov 12, 2026 Sacramento State @ Central Michigan 1st Half Spread away (+9.50) +113 pinnacle 0.7% Win +1.13u
Nov 12, 2026 Sacramento State @ Central Michigan Spread away (+14.50) +100 novig 0.1% Loss -1.00u
Nov 12, 2026 Sacramento State @ Central Michigan Moneyline away +529 kalshi 1.9% Loss -1.00u
Nov 12, 2026 Sacramento State @ Central Michigan Over/Under over (42.50) -114 fanduel 0.1% Loss -1.14u
Nov 12, 2026 Sacramento State @ Central Michigan Over/Under under (42.50) +111 novig 0.0% Win +1.11u
Nov 12, 2026 Sacramento State @ Central Michigan Spread home (-16.50) -115 fanduel 4.4% Win +1.00u
Nov 12, 2026 UMass @ Toledo 1st Half Over/Under over (27.00) +105 betonline 0.7% Loss -1.00u
Nov 12, 2026 UMass @ Toledo 1st Half Over/Under under (27.00) -105 circa 0.7% Win +1.00u
Nov 12, 2026 UMass @ Toledo Toledo Points Over/Under under (33.50) +108 novig 0.1% Win +1.08u
Nov 12, 2026 UMass @ Toledo Over/Under over (52.50) +113 novig 0.1% Loss -1.00u
Nov 12, 2026 UMass @ Toledo William Watson Passing Touchdowns Over/Under over (0.50) -160 fanduel 3.3% Loss -1.60u
Nov 12, 2026 UMass @ Toledo John Alan Richter Passing Touchdowns Over/Under over (1.50) -123 draftkings 3.9% Loss -1.23u
Nov 12, 2026 UMass @ Toledo Spread home (-14.50) +108 kalshi 0.1% Win +1.08u
Nov 12, 2026 UMass @ Toledo Spread away (+14.50) -108 novig 0.3% Loss -1.08u
Nov 12, 2026 UMass @ Toledo William Watson Passing Touchdowns Over/Under under (0.50) +177 betonline 3.4% Win +1.77u
Nov 12, 2026 UMass @ Toledo Over/Under under (35.50) +614 novig 1.0% Win +6.14u

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